Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NIA -275 NJIT +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +8 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -5.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -3.4 (+4.6) | 144.1 (+25.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -3.5 (+4.5) | 145.1 (+24.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -3.9 (+4.1) | 144.9 (+25.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -4.6 (+3.4) | 144.7 (+25.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | NJIT 62 – 53 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 5-8 |
| Away | 10-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#335) | -12.5 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#330) | -1.62 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#323) | -2.47 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#317) | 0.425 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 25.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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