Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | DAY -138 WYO +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +17 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -3.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -2.4 (+14.6) | 132.2 (-17.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -2.0 (+15.0) | 131.4 (-16.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -2.8 (+14.2) | 132.7 (-17.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -2.6 (+14.4) | 134.4 (-19.4) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#121) | -1.1 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#188) | -0.94 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#172) | -1.07 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#180) | 0.434 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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