Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -125 NE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -8.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -6.6 (+1.4) | 135.0 (+19.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -4.6 (+3.4) | 135.5 (+18.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -5.5 (+2.5) | 134.5 (+19.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -5.8 (+2.2) | 134.3 (+19.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#232) | -6.8 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#222) | -1.41 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#237) | -1.61 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#233) | 0.438 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.