Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | GAST -138 URI +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -3.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -2.4 (+6.6) | 129.8 (+11.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -1.9 (+7.1) | 129.3 (+11.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -2.0 (+7.0) | 130.5 (+10.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -1.9 (+7.1) | 130.7 (+10.3) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | URI 94 – 59 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-9 | 7-9 |
| Away | 0-11 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#270) | -4.3 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#292) | -1.20 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#281) | -1.19 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#302) | 0.453 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 21.6% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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