Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -1000 WIN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +8 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -14.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -14.1 (-6.1) | 144.7 (+25.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -12.7 (-4.7) | 145.1 (+24.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -11.8 (-3.8) | 145.4 (+24.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -12.3 (-4.3) | 145.5 (+24.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#106) | -5.4 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#38) | -0.74 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#41) | -0.85 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#65) | 0.456 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 33.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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