Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -4000 WMU +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -27.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -25.7 (-9.7) | 130.8 (-0.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -24.8 (-8.8) | 130.2 (-0.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -23.0 (-7.0) | 130.4 (-0.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -25.4 (-9.4) | 129.5 (+0.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#35) | -10.7 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#25) | -2.81 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#27) | -3.95 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#42) | 0.362 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 31.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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