Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -600 STAN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -9.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -5.9 (+4.1) | 136.4 (-2.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -6.9 (+3.1) | 132.8 (+1.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -7.3 (+2.7) | 133.6 (+0.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -6.7 (+3.3) | 135.5 (-1.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | TEX 60 – 53 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 15.7 (#10) | 6.7 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#34) | -0.36 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#25) | 0.00 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#55) | 0.505 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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