Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +7 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -12.9 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -10.9 (+3.9) | 130.5 (-17.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -8.8 (+1.8) | 126.9 (-13.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -9.7 (+2.7) | 134.0 (-21.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -10.4 (+3.4) | 134.3 (-21.3) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | TEX 72 – 62 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 16-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#134) | 14.8 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#109) | 1.81 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#110) | 2.62 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#90) | 0.560 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 27.7% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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