Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SPU +188 QUIN -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +7 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -6.9 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -6.3 (+13.3) | 134.7 (-15.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -5.1 (+12.1) | 129.6 (-10.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -6.6 (+13.6) | 135.6 (-16.6) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -6.2 (+13.2) | 136.5 (-17.5) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#318) | 2.8 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#300) | 1.04 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#304) | 1.42 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#325) | 0.496 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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