Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP +110 LT -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +5 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -1.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-33.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -2.2 (+2.8) | 147.1 (-32.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -1.4 (+3.6) | 144.0 (-29.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -2.8 (+2.2) | 146.7 (-31.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -1.9 (+3.1) | 148.0 (-33.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LT 69 – 59 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LT 75 – 63 UTEP |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LT 76 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UTEP 70 – 60 LT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LT 65 – 59 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#235) | 0.0 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#113) | -0.56 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#121) | -0.65 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#148) | 0.460 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 24.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.