Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -4000 SOU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +26 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -14.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -15.9 (+10.1) | 152.2 (+5.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -16.5 (+9.5) | 153.1 (+4.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -13.4 (+12.6) | 154.2 (+3.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -14.5 (+11.5) | 153.2 (+4.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2020 | UAB 88 – 46 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-2 | 9-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#52) | -0.1 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#88) | -1.29 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#90) | -1.65 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#79) | 0.477 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 40.1% |
Game Analysis
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