Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +42 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -21.0 (+21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -24.0 (+18.0) | 143.0 (-9.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -16.3 (+25.7) | 144.8 (-10.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -19.3 (+22.7) | 145.0 (-11.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -24.7 (+17.3) | 145.3 (-11.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | UAB 92 – 66 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#35) | -4.9 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#33) | -2.13 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#38) | -3.28 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#77) | 0.402 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.2% | 59.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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