Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | VAN +230 NCSU -287 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | NCSU -8.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -5.3 (+1.3) | 142.4 (-6.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -7.2 (+3.2) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -6.2 (+2.2) | 143.1 (-7.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -6.5 (+2.5) | 143.5 (-7.5) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2023 | NCSU 84 – 78 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#125) | 10.9 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#151) | 1.34 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#139) | 1.99 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#122) | 0.559 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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