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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 5.7
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+9.0 | 161.3 | 78% | 90–100 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.5 | 145.8 | 87% | 67–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.8 | 135.4 | 84% | 62–60 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.9 | 145.6 | 67% | 59–65 | ✓ |
|
|
-13.4 | 143.4 | 13% | 87–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.