Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–12 on winners spread MAE 12.5 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Delaware @ Rider +2.6 143.4 60% 60–59 ✗
Maine @ Akron +4.8 134.1 73% 55–87 ✓
Holy Cross @ New Hampshire +7.7 130.9 75% 60–78 ✓
Hofstra @ South Florida +1.9 137.6 61% 70–77 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Purdue Fort Wayne +8.1 142.3 78% 68–85 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Siena +2.0 135.5 61% 70–76 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Saint Joseph's +5.2 149.6 71% 59–77 ✓
Manhattan @ Marist +9.1 134.9 71% 80–69 ✗
Grambling @ Liberty +7.9 132.6 73% 56–75 ✓
North Dakota State @ Western Illinois +3.4 150.2 68% 60–79 ✓
Charleston @ Coastal Carolina -4.9 145.6 26% 83–69 ✓
Chicago State @ Illinois State +4.0 141.6 66% 52–66 ✓
Alabama State @ Arkansas State +10.1 131.1 83% 65–72 ✓
Stonehill @ Bradley +16.9 135.5 88% 50–79 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas +9.3 146.9 82% 62–75 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +11.8 153.7 86% 40–79 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas City +4.1 136.2 69% 45–62 ✓
Denver @ Omaha +0.0 150.7 48% 66–83 ✓
Weber State @ Utah State +18.5 148.5 84% 75–72 ✗
UT Arlington @ San Francisco +12.8 136.5 86% 68–63 ✗
Idaho @ Cal State Northridge +0.7 134.7 42% 76–73 ✗
Jacksonville @ UL Monroe -6.8 133.5 29% 66–55 ✓
South Carolina State @ Longwood +13.9 146.9 88% 77–104 ✓
Toledo @ Vermont +2.4 151.8 64% 84–72 ✗
UAlbany @ Northern Illinois +5.8 147.3 70% 83–78 ✗
Wofford @ Texas A&M +11.5 148.8 83% 67–62 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Oklahoma State +14.3 141.2 87% 58–81 ✓
North Alabama @ Ole Miss +15.5 143.1 87% 66–65 ✗
East Texas A&M @ IU Indianapolis -11.8 134.4 17% 52–62 ✗
Mississippi State @ Drake -7.2 129.2 27% 52–58 ✗
Lehigh @ Cornell +12.2 152.7 85% 64–96 ✓
Wagner @ Delaware State -2.2 134.1 35% 58–51 ✓
Lipscomb @ Louisville -3.8 141.2 37% 75–67 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +26.3 152.4 91% 73–84 ✓
Duke @ Wake Forest -4.9 139.7 34% 70–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.