Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | COR -700 LEH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +32 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | COR -15.4 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -12.8 (+19.2) | 155.5 (+4.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -11.9 (+20.1) | 151.8 (+8.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -12.2 (+19.8) | 152.7 (+7.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -12.7 (+19.3) | 151.2 (+8.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | COR 84 – 78 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#157) | -9.7 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#133) | -1.10 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#124) | -1.84 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#159) | 0.469 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 11.9% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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