Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -10000 UNA +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -18.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -15.4 (-16.4) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -16.7 (-17.7) | 140.7 (-9.7) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -15.5 (-16.5) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -15.5 (-16.5) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-10 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#72) | -7.1 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#85) | -0.22 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#78) | -0.67 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#51) | 0.468 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 38.2% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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