Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +400 WAG -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +7 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -2.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -3.5 (-3.5) | 133.4 (-24.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -5.9 (-1.1) | 130.1 (-21.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -1.8 (-5.2) | 134.3 (-25.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -2.2 (-4.8) | 134.1 (-25.1) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2021 | WAG 93 – 51 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#349) | -5.9 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#354) | -0.26 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.57 (#355) | -0.84 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#335) | 0.488 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 42.3% |
Game Analysis
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