Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WAG -10000 DSU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +42 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -33.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -32.1 (+9.9) | 134.7 (+9.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -25.1 (+16.9) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -23.6 (+18.4) | 136.6 (+7.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -32.6 (+9.4) | 136.3 (+7.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2022 | WAG 58 – 51 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-6 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 0-14 |
| Home | 13-1 | 2-11 |
| Away | 10-5 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L25 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#60) | -21.2 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#53) | -4.61 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#52) | -6.59 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#38) | 0.264 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 42.2% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 11.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 59.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 13.5% |
Game Analysis
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