Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | KC +120 SDAK -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +17 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | KC -8.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -3.9 (+13.1) | 133.9 (-26.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -3.9 (+13.1) | 131.3 (-24.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -4.3 (+12.7) | 135.0 (-28.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -4.1 (+12.9) | 136.2 (-29.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#280) | -9.0 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#283) | -0.69 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#291) | -1.10 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#216) | 0.470 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 23.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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