Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | USU -1600 WEB +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -22.5 (-25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -16.8 (-19.8) | 146.5 (+0.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -16.1 (-19.1) | 144.8 (+2.2) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -16.7 (-19.7) | 149.0 (-2.0) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USU -18.5 (-21.5) | 148.5 (-1.5) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | USU 83 – 73 WEB |
| Dec 16, 2021 | USU 95 – 80 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#20) | -4.1 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.18 (#3) | -0.80 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.79 (#3) | -0.83 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.716 (#2) | 0.435 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 43.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.