The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Alumni Gymnasium (Rider) · December 20, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RID -1.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money RID -120 / DEL +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total RID win
Actual DEL +1 119 Lost
Massey RID -5.3 (-6.3) — —
Massey Totals — 142.8 (-23.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RID -2.9 (-3.9) 141.9 (-22.9) 59% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RID -2.2 (-3.2) 141.0 (-22.0) 52% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RID -2.5 (-3.5) 143.2 (-24.2) 61% ✗
Baseline ML RID -2.6 (-3.6) 143.4 (-24.4) 60% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 17, 2025 DEL 65 – 57 RID
Nov 30, 2024 DEL 72 – 66 RID
Dec 21, 2023 RID 88 – 85 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RID DEL
Overall 16-14 17-16
Conference 13-7 8-10
Home 8-5 10-5
Away 8-6 4-10
Neutral 0-3 3-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 69.4
Avg Pts Against 68.2 71.2
Massey -0.6 (#184) -1.1 (#193)
Bradley-Terry -0.35 (#206) 0.34 (#148)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.60 (#213) 0.44 (#147)
RPI 0.451 (#258) 0.520 (#144)
Shooting & Four Factors RID DEL
FG% 41.7% 45.0%
3PT% 34.4% 31.7%
REB / G 37.4 33.3
OREB / G 12.7 9.1
AST / TO 0.92 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.8% 50.7%
TOV% 18.4% 15.9%
ORB% 34.8% 26.5%
FT Rate 25.9% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 18.0%
DRB% 67.3% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 29.5% 17.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.