Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
Bob Carpenter Center · December 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -9.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money DEL -600 / RID +430
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual RID +3 173 Lost
Massey DEL -18.1 (-21.1) — —
Massey Totals — 141.3 (+31.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✗
Baseline Plus ML DEL -14.4 (-17.4) 145.4 (+27.6) 86% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DEL -10.6 (-13.6) 142.6 (+30.4) 80% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -13.5 (-16.5) 142.2 (+30.8) 87% ✗
Baseline ML DEL -13.9 (-16.9) 143.7 (+29.3) 86% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 17, 2025 DEL 65 – 57 RID
Nov 30, 2024 DEL 72 – 66 RID
Dec 20, 2022 DEL 60 – 59 RID

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL RID
Overall 19-14 15-17
Conference 10-8 12-8
Home 8-5 9-4
Away 8-6 6-12
Neutral 3-3 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.3 70.8
Avg Pts Against 69.7 72.3
Massey 5.1 (#93) -8.4 (#309)
Bradley-Terry 0.96 (#99) -2.84 (#347)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.52 (#82) -3.64 (#339)
RPI 0.546 (#105) 0.395 (#329)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL RID
FG% 45.1% 37.5%
3PT% 34.3% 23.7%
REB / G 34.8 41.2
OREB / G 9.6 15.3
AST / TO 1.29 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 41.0%
TOV% 16.2% 18.1%
ORB% 28.2% 35.8%
FT Rate 25.0% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.5% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 15.3%
DRB% 72.0% 73.5%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 30.6%

Game Analysis

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