Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Under |
| Money | ORU -480 SDST +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +39 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -13.1 (+25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-37.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -11.7 (+27.3) | 152.2 (-33.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -9.9 (+29.1) | 148.5 (-29.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -11.3 (+27.7) | 153.1 (-34.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -11.8 (+27.2) | 153.7 (-34.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDST 87 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SDST 95 – 72 ORU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SDST 77 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SDST 84 – 70 ORU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SDST 79 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-2 |
| Away | 11-4 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#65) | -0.4 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#50) | 0.21 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#51) | -0.33 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#29) | 0.531 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 17.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.