Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | JOES -400 SHU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +18 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -6.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -6.5 (+11.5) | 151.2 (-15.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -5.2 (+12.8) | 149.8 (-13.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -5.2 (+12.8) | 149.6 (-13.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -5.9 (+12.1) | 149.8 (-13.8) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2023 | JOES 64 – 55 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#272) | -7.6 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#301) | -1.54 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#301) | -2.16 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#270) | 0.399 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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