Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | JOES -600 SHU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +9 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -7.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -7.9 (+1.1) | 150.4 (-31.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -6.9 (+2.1) | 145.2 (-26.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -7.7 (+1.3) | 146.8 (-27.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -6.7 (+2.3) | 149.5 (-30.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2022 | JOES 77 – 59 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#108) | 3.2 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#245) | -0.02 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#227) | -0.23 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#277) | 0.443 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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