Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -1000 WOF +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -12.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -10.8 (-15.8) | 147.8 (-18.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -11.0 (-16.0) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -11.7 (-16.7) | 149.8 (-20.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -11.5 (-16.5) | 148.8 (-19.8) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2020 | TA&M 70 – 52 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#90) | -2.3 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#123) | -0.23 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#109) | -0.48 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#116) | 0.473 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 35.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.9% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
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