Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -260 WOF +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +18 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -2.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -4.1 (+13.9) | 136.8 (-14.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -4.3 (+13.7) | 136.4 (-14.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -4.8 (+13.2) | 137.8 (-15.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -4.2 (+13.8) | 138.4 (-16.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2022 | WOF 67 – 62 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 2-8 | 12-5 |
| Home | 6-4 | 9-3 |
| Away | 2-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#148) | 2.6 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#121) | -0.04 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#155) | 0.21 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#179) | 0.567 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 26.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 40.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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