Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | STMN -380 UND +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -12.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -9.6 (+3.4) | 143.5 (-6.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -9.2 (+3.8) | 140.6 (-3.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -9.4 (+3.6) | 147.3 (-10.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -9.3 (+3.7) | 146.9 (-9.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UND 67 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UND 81 – 80 STMN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STMN 91 – 80 UND |
| Mar 9, 2025 | STMN 85 – 69 UND |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#141) | -6.3 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#122) | -0.96 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#146) | -1.32 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#179) | 0.427 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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