Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -29.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -8000 LIU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +36 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -37.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+43.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -24.0 (+12.0) | 157.2 (+36.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -23.8 (+12.2) | 150.9 (+43.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -31.9 (+4.1) | 151.7 (+42.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -33.6 (+2.4) | 153.3 (+40.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | LIU 88 – 79 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 1-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 2-10 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 81.9 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#25) | -19.1 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#112) | -3.56 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#95) | -5.15 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#126) | 0.412 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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