Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -500 PORT +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -8.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -9.2 (+12.8) | 143.1 (-9.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -7.7 (+14.3) | 145.2 (-11.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -7.8 (+14.2) | 144.7 (-10.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -8.3 (+13.7) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | ORE 94 – 69 PORT |
| Nov 13, 2024 | ORE 80 – 70 PORT |
| Dec 16, 2021 | ORE 96 – 71 PORT |
| Dec 19, 2020 | ORE 80 – 41 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 15-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#55) | 5.7 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#101) | -0.01 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#94) | 0.30 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#89) | 0.469 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 39.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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