Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -20000 PORT +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -35.5 (-25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -24.7 (-14.7) | 142.7 (+7.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -33.6 (-23.6) | 144.7 (+5.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | ORE 94 – 69 PORT |
| Dec 18, 2022 | ORE 78 – 56 PORT |
| Dec 16, 2021 | ORE 96 – 71 PORT |
| Dec 19, 2020 | ORE 80 – 41 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#49) | -17.3 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#100) | -1.80 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#93) | -2.74 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#125) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 30.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 16.1% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 34.1% |
| TOV% | 11.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 38.9% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 12.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 64.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 11.1% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 8.8% |
Game Analysis
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