Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -24.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +39 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -21.0 (+18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (-42.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -15.9 (+23.1) | 153.8 (-32.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -18.1 (+20.9) | 155.6 (-34.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -20.0 (+19.0) | 153.0 (-32.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -21.0 (+18.0) | 154.3 (-33.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | ORE 94 – 69 PORT |
| Nov 13, 2024 | ORE 80 – 70 PORT |
| Dec 18, 2022 | ORE 78 – 56 PORT |
| Dec 16, 2021 | ORE 96 – 71 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 0-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 7-2 | 1-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 85.1 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#40) | -5.3 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#21) | -0.55 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.40 (#15) | -2.20 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#56) | 0.411 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 36.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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