Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -17.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +25 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -11.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -15.3 (+9.7) | 139.6 (+27.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -10.0 (+15.0) | 142.1 (+24.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -10.7 (+14.3) | 143.2 (+23.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -9.6 (+15.4) | 141.1 (+25.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | ORE 94 – 69 PORT |
| Nov 13, 2024 | ORE 80 – 70 PORT |
| Dec 18, 2022 | ORE 78 – 56 PORT |
| Dec 19, 2020 | ORE 80 – 41 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#112) | -3.6 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#153) | -0.43 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#122) | -0.96 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#139) | 0.432 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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