Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | STBK +120 ARMY -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -0.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.4 (+8.4) | 136.9 (-11.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -0.7 (+7.7) | 138.9 (-13.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -0.1 (+7.1) | 139.6 (-14.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.7 (+7.7) | 139.3 (-14.3) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2023 | STBK 78 – 74 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#346) | -7.2 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#333) | -1.92 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#336) | -2.50 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.357 (#353) | 0.364 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 18.9% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.