Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | ARMY +152 STBK -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | STBK -1.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -0.5 (-3.5) | 134.2 (+17.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -2.0 (-2.0) | 131.9 (+20.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -0.6 (-3.4) | 131.7 (+20.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -1.1 (-2.9) | 132.7 (+19.3) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | STBK 66 – 59 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#333) | -4.6 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#345) | -0.83 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#334) | -0.37 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.359 (#355) | 0.451 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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