Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -600 CAL +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -15.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -13.0 (-4.0) | 131.8 (+1.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -11.5 (-2.5) | 134.3 (-1.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.0 (-3.0) | 133.8 (-0.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -11.6 (-2.6) | 131.5 (+1.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | CAL 84 – 69 SCU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | CAL 72 – 60 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-4 | 3-14 |
| Away | 6-3 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L16 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 58.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#115) | -7.6 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#60) | -4.08 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#68) | -5.18 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#34) | 0.405 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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