Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +12 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -0.7 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -0.5 (+11.5) | 141.0 (-9.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -1.6 (+10.4) | 142.2 (-10.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -1.0 (+11.0) | 143.2 (-11.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -2.2 (+9.8) | 142.7 (-10.7) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | CAL 84 – 69 SCU |
| Dec 18, 2022 | SCU 71 – 62 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-5 |
| Home | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#150) | 6.9 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#174) | 0.85 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#154) | 1.55 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#172) | 0.549 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 79.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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