Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -1200 UNCO +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -19.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -16.6 (-5.6) | 152.8 (+12.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -15.4 (-4.4) | 154.7 (+10.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -17.1 (-6.1) | 155.1 (+9.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -17.1 (-6.1) | 152.6 (+12.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 81 COLO |
| Nov 9, 2024 | COLO 90 – 88 UNCO |
| Dec 16, 2023 | COLO 90 – 68 UNCO |
| Dec 15, 2020 | COLO 81 – 45 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#44) | -4.0 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#78) | 1.23 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#61) | 1.27 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#40) | 0.560 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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