Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -10000 UNCO +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +22 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -24.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -21.4 (+0.6) | 155.8 (+2.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -19.8 (+2.2) | 155.9 (+2.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -22.7 (-0.7) | 156.3 (+1.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -23.7 (-1.7) | 157.2 (+0.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 81 COLO |
| Nov 9, 2024 | COLO 90 – 88 UNCO |
| Dec 18, 2022 | COLO 88 – 77 UNCO |
| Dec 15, 2020 | COLO 81 – 45 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#21) | -6.1 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#81) | -1.13 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#64) | -1.86 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#82) | 0.422 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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