Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -700 ALCN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -12.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -9.6 (+4.4) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -10.9 (+3.1) | 141.2 (-11.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -9.4 (+4.6) | 144.9 (-14.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -10.1 (+3.9) | 144.1 (-14.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2021 | SEA 69 – 66 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 10-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#107) | -3.6 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#85) | 0.55 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#102) | 0.63 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#92) | 0.535 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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