We're volunteers of America. "Volunteers" - Jefferson Airplane
Gervin GameAbove Center · December 18, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -4.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money EMU +180 / DETM -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual EMU +2 156 Won
Massey DETM -3.5 (+5.5)
Massey Totals 169.5 (-13.5)
Bradley-Terry 11%
Weighted B-T 10%
Efficiency Plus ML DETM -3.5 (+5.5) 154.5 (+1.5) 47%
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -2.9 (+4.9) 159.4 (-3.4) 35%
Baseline ML DETM -2.5 (+4.5) 160.6 (-4.6) 50%
Baseline Plus ML DETM -2.9 (+4.9) 157.4 (-1.4) 47%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 19, 2025 EMU 7262 DETM
Dec 1, 2024 DETM 9889 EMU
Nov 22, 2023 EMU 7672 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU DETM
Overall 8-23 14-19
Conference 5-13 9-11
Home 6-7 9-5
Away 2-13 5-13
Neutral 0-3 0-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 72.1 76.1
Avg Pts Against 81.3 75.7
Massey -7.7 (#303) 0.8 (#163)
Bradley-Terry -2.47 (#334) 0.50 (#139)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.64 (#322) 0.65 (#136)
RPI 0.372 (#343) 0.536 (#112)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU DETM
FG% 45.2% 41.8%
3PT% 34.6% 39.5%
REB / G 30.8 35.0
OREB / G 8.8 12.3
AST / TO 0.85 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 50.3%
TOV% 16.3% 18.6%
ORB% 25.0% 33.4%
FT Rate 22.0% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.5% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 18.0%
DRB% 72.1% 65.6%
Opp FT Rate 29.1% 19.4%

Game Analysis

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