I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Gervin GameAbove Center · December 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread EMU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money EMU -330 / DETM +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual DETM +9 187 Lost
Massey EMU -8.1 (-17.1)
Massey Totals 134.1 (+52.9)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 97%
Efficiency Plus ML EMU -6.3 (-15.3) 133.9 (+53.1) 67%
Baseline Tuned ML EMU -6.3 (-15.3) 134.3 (+52.7) 73%
Baseline ML EMU -6.6 (-15.6) 134.5 (+52.5) 73%
Baseline Plus ML EMU -7.0 (-16.0) 134.2 (+52.8) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 19, 2025 EMU 7262 DETM
Nov 22, 2023 EMU 7672 DETM
Dec 18, 2022 EMU 7977 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU DETM
Overall 16-16 8-24
Conference 9-9 4-16
Home 9-5 6-7
Away 6-10 2-15
Neutral 1-1 0-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L8
Avg Pts For 73.3 66.3
Avg Pts Against 77.1 76.6
Massey -4.2 (#243) -6.8 (#296)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#121) -1.23 (#281)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.13 (#175) -2.43 (#301)
RPI 0.483 (#196) 0.478 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU DETM
FG% 41.8% 39.1%
3PT% 32.3% 33.9%
REB / G 33.7 42.6
OREB / G 11.0 14.0
AST / TO 0.96 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.8% 43.8%
TOV% 18.6% 19.6%
ORB% 30.6% 34.9%
FT Rate 20.6% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.1% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 14.9%
DRB% 67.3% 75.8%
Opp FT Rate 27.5% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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