Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Calihan Hall · November 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -2.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money DETM -145 / EMU +122
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual EMU +4 148 Lost
Massey DETM -10.9 (-14.9)
Massey Totals 141.2 (+6.8)
Bradley-Terry 71%
Weighted B-T 83%
Efficiency Plus ML DETM -6.3 (-10.3) 139.4 (+8.6) 71%
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -5.7 (-9.7) 140.6 (+7.4) 70%
Baseline ML DETM -5.8 (-9.8) 140.9 (+7.1) 66%
Baseline Plus ML DETM -5.5 (-9.5) 137.9 (+10.1) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 19, 2025 EMU 7262 DETM
Dec 1, 2024 DETM 9889 EMU
Dec 18, 2022 EMU 7977 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM EMU
Overall 1-31 13-18
Conference 1-19 6-12
Home 1-11 9-6
Away 0-20 4-11
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 0-4 2-2
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 66.0 65.9
Avg Pts Against 80.2 73.6
Massey -9.5 (#329) -12.8 (#346)
Bradley-Terry -1.15 (#270) -0.47 (#221)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.59 (#266) -1.07 (#238)
RPI 0.489 (#192) 0.480 (#201)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM EMU
FG% 41.7% 42.2%
3PT% 30.9% 28.9%
REB / G 31.2 34.0
OREB / G 7.8 9.2
AST / TO 0.72 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 47.2%
TOV% 23.1% 21.2%
ORB% 23.0% 26.1%
FT Rate 16.1% 20.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.4% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 14.3% 13.7%
DRB% 65.3% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 16.7% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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