Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -2000 BUF +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +18 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -25.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -23.0 (-5.0) | 152.0 (+22.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -18.3 (-0.3) | 151.9 (+22.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -20.6 (-2.6) | 152.2 (+21.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -23.3 (-5.3) | 152.2 (+21.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#7) | -3.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#23) | -0.52 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#16) | -0.73 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#9) | 0.497 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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