Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB +200 ACU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -4.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -4.0 (-10.0) | 129.9 (-5.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -0.6 (-6.6) | 128.5 (-4.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -2.7 (-8.7) | 132.8 (-8.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -3.5 (-9.5) | 132.7 (-8.7) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2021 | ACU 69 – 59 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#255) | -4.3 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#212) | -0.93 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#216) | -1.23 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#266) | 0.412 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.