Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -17.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -13.8 (-3.8) | 136.6 (-8.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -12.1 (-2.1) | 137.1 (-9.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -13.5 (-3.5) | 136.3 (-8.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -15.0 (-5.0) | 136.3 (-8.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | ACU 65 – 59 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 2-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#63) | -5.2 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#116) | 0.59 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#106) | 0.69 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#109) | 0.529 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 11.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.6% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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