Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | PRST +188 UCSB -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +12 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -3.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -0.1 (-11.9) | 144.7 (+13.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -2.4 (-14.4) | 146.0 (+12.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -1.8 (-13.8) | 146.8 (+11.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -1.1 (-13.1) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | PRST 82 – 76 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#178) | 1.7 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#166) | 0.59 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#164) | 0.57 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#104) | 0.513 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 42.6% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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