Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | UNM -155 IONA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -2.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -6.0 (+2.0) | 147.2 (+8.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -2.9 (+5.1) | 146.2 (+9.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -5.4 (+2.6) | 146.2 (+9.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -6.5 (+1.5) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 15-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#50) | 12.3 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.21 (#4) | 1.69 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.82 (#4) | 2.09 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#17) | 0.604 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.1% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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