Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | ORST -1400 GB +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -19.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -14.3 (-5.3) | 128.7 (-7.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -14.7 (-5.7) | 128.9 (-7.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -14.7 (-5.7) | 131.7 (-10.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -14.9 (-5.9) | 130.9 (-9.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-7 | 2-10 |
| Away | 1-10 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.5 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#209) | -16.4 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#200) | -2.23 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#210) | -3.01 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#212) | 0.398 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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